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Japan fertility rate falls again to record low

The FrontierThe FrontierJune 3, 2026 751 Minutes read0

•A pregnant woman walks to her office in Tokyo 

Japan’s fertility rate fell again last year to a new record low, official data showed today, underscoring the demographic crisis gnawing at the world’s fourth-largest economy.

Japan has one of the world’s lowest birth rates, as well as a falling and ageing population, leading to labour shortages, a ballooning social security bill, and a shrinking tax base, reports AFP.

Government figures showed the total fertility rate — the average number of children a woman is expected to have during her lifetime — dropped by 0.01 from a year earlier to 1.14, the 10th straight year of decline.

The number of babies born in the country fell by nearly 15,000 to just over 670,000, the lowest figure since records began in 1899.

The figures follow preliminary data released in February, which showed around 706,000 births but included non-Japanese babies born in the country and Japanese citizens born abroad.

The trend shows the pace at which new births are decreasing is as many as 15 years faster than recent predictions made by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, according to local media.

In 2023, the institute estimated that it would not be until 2040 that the annual number of births would slip below the 680,000 mark, public broadcaster NHK said.

Last month, Japan’s twice-a-decade census found the country’s total population had dropped by a record 2.5 percent in just five years.

While immigration is often floated as a solution to Japan’s shrinking demographic, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is pushing for tougher measures against an inflow of foreigners.

Central and local government officials have tried with limited success in recent years to incentivise marriage and childbirth, from launching dating apps to boosting child-rearing allowances and subsidising parental leave.

 

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